403 
ACUS11 KWNS 251002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251001 
MNZ000-NDZ000-251100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO W CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 251001Z - 251100Z

FOCUS FOR SMALL STORM CLUSTER...WITH BOW ECHO CONFIGURATION IN RADAR
REFLECTIVITIES...APPEARS TO BE AN ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
ZONE...DOWNSTREAM OF THE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PROGRESSING
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTH DAKOTA/MANITOBA BORDER AREA.  ONCE
THIS FORCING WEAKENS...CONVECTION SHOULD WEAKEN...AS NEAR SURFACE
SYSTEM RELATIVE INFLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY COOLER AND MORE STABLE
EAST OF THE NORTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER AREA.  RUC GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN SUGGESTING THAT THIS WILL OCCUR BY 12-13Z.  UNTIL
THEN STRONG SURFACE GUSTS AT LEAST APPROACHING SEVERE
LIMITS...PERHAPS SOME HAIL...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORMS AS
THEY ADVANCE TOWARD FERGUS FALLS AND ADJACENT AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AT NEAR 40 KT.

..KERR.. 06/25/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...ABR...

LAT...LON   46889688 46839627 46719584 46419552 46129557 45979601
            46129692 46309747 46589716 46889688